Tag Archives: monetary policy

Quarterly Outlook Summary

Pessimism is growing about the future direction of the markets as is speculation that valuations have become too high. These sentiments are not uncommon in strong markets. Sometimes it’s called climbing a wall of worry. The common ingredients for a … Continue reading

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2016 Year-end Summary

Last year the economy and the markets performed moderately well. The economy has now weathered two interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve. They see the economy growing moderately with low inflation and steady growth. Inflation is low and slowly … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

The markets and the economy continue to muddle along although with some volatility. Even though the Federal Reserve has raised short-term interest rates one notch, longer term rates surprisingly declined slightly. Try as they might, the cannot generate any inflation … Continue reading

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2015 Year-end Summary

Last year was a difficult year for the markets, but we were able to eke out some positive returns due to a late December surge. That surge quickly melted in early January due to perceived economic weakness in overbuilt China … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

The past quarter (and year) has been fairly brutal to portfolio returns due to high volatility stemming from factors I’ll discuss below. Immediately following the end of September, the market staged a surprising rally that at present appears to have … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

In general terms, the overall economy continues to gradually improve. Labor unemployment and job creation is improving. Although consumer demand is also improving, this is moderated by consumers’ continuing to avoid debt and leverage that got us all into trouble … Continue reading

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