Category Archives: economics

Quarterly Update Summary

We’ve recently been cautiously optimistic about the economy which has performed quite well. There are presently a couple of developments on the monetary and fiscal fronts that cause us some concern. Few things affect the economy more than the availability … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

Pessimism is growing about the future direction of the markets as is speculation that valuations have become too high. These sentiments are not uncommon in strong markets. Sometimes it’s called climbing a wall of worry. The common ingredients for a … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

Our accounts have been performing very well this year largely due to two of our major holdings, Amazon and Oclaro. While these began as quite modest positions, they have grown sufficiently that they are both quite large in our standard … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

The economy remains sufficiently weak that the Federal Reserve has postponed any further interest rate increases until at least next year. One of the complicating factors was the recent vote in the U.K. to leave the European Trade Union. The … Continue reading

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Quarterly Outlook Summary

The markets and the economy continue to muddle along although with some volatility. Even though the Federal Reserve has raised short-term interest rates one notch, longer term rates surprisingly declined slightly. Try as they might, the cannot generate any inflation … Continue reading

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2015 Year-end Summary

Last year was a difficult year for the markets, but we were able to eke out some positive returns due to a late December surge. That surge quickly melted in early January due to perceived economic weakness in overbuilt China … Continue reading

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